Welcome to the last pre-election episode of The Decision 2024! Today, Tom Ellsworth and Amy Dangerfield analyze the crucial early voting statistics across every major swing state and some surprising wildcard states that have emerged as battlegrounds in the last days of the 2024 election.
With a deep dive into turnout trends compared to the 2020 election, they discuss how voter enthusiasm has shifted, highlighting a recent voter fraud attempt uncovered in Pennsylvania and its potential impact on results. Reviewing the latest polling data and demographic breakdowns, they uncover key shifts in voter sentiment and present a detailed final electoral map prediction for the Trump vs. Harris faceoff.
From the must-watch states to potential upsets, we’re bringing you everything you need to know in this final stretch to Election Day.
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New polling data shows Donald Trump leading in the national polls by 0.1%, marking a shift from past elections where Democrats typically led in popular votes. If there is any poll bias, Trump’s actual lead could be greater.
Meanwhile, early voting numbers reveal that Republicans are performing strongly in swing states like Arizona and Nevada, traditionally dominated by Democratic early voters. For instance, in Arizona, Republicans have a 42% share of early votes, with 36% for Democrats, reflecting a significant shift from previous cycles. Similarly, Nevada’s early ballots show Republicans slightly ahead, marking a positive trend for Trump.
The analysis of other states indicates close competition in North Carolina and Georgia, with Republicans slightly leading in early voting. Meanwhile, in states like Wisconsin and Michigan, early votes favor Trump, despite Vice President Kamala Harris having a small lead in Michigan due to independent voters.
In Pennsylvania, concerns about potential voter fraud emerge, specifically in Lancaster County, where unauthorized voter registrations may have been used for fraudulent absentee ballots.
Our hosts’ final prediction suggests Trump could secure 302 electoral votes, with Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania likely swinging in his favor. However, turnout on Election Day is still critical, and Americans need to get out and vote to ensure the integrity of this crucial election.
Join Tom Ellsworth, Amy Dangerfield, and the rest of the Valuetainment team for a special Election Night livestream at our new headquarters, where we’ll watch democracy in action together!
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