2026 midterm predictions with 4 days to go: red states Trump won by double digits are suddenly razor-thin. Tom Ellsworth of VT Analytics breaks down the races that should be safe but aren’t, and why turnout will decide everything on Election Day.
In Mississippi, Trump won by nearly 23 points, but Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith is up only 3. In South Carolina’s Rock Hill area, a Trump +17.9 region is within a point. Kansas, Texas, Maine, and Michigan are all tightening as voters cite affordability, the economy, and the war as their top concerns. Texas early voting is running at 113% of 2022’s pace, and the generic ballot is showing Democrats +9, the biggest gap Tom says he’s ever seen.
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Election Day is November 3rd. Get out and vote.
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Valuetainment is the leading source for content on entrepreneurship, capitalism, and leadership. Founded by Patrick Bet-David, CEO, author, father, and host of the PBD Podcast. We deliver engaging conversations and debates on politics, business, current events, and pop culture, including interviews with today’s most influential leaders. Our mission is to enlighten, entertain, and educate current and future leaders around the world. The future looks bright!



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