2026 Midterm Predictions with 7 Days to Go: Are the Polls Lying to You? VT Analytics breaks down the real 2026 Senate map, House forecast, and America’s closest races, including Texas, Maine, and Michigan.

Left-leaning polls. Right-leaning polls. A lot of it is BS on both sides. Tom Ellsworth cuts through the noise with the numbers we think you can actually trust, and some you won’t want to hear.

In this 2026 midterm election update:
🔹 Senate forecast: Do Democrats flip the Senate 52–47?
🔹 House forecast: 229+ seats and a 93% chance of Democratic control
🔹 Texas Senate race: Talarico vs Paxton is a dead heat, and Paxton is gaining
🔹 Maine Senate race: Susan Collins vs Troy Jackson, tied as Trump steps in
🔹 Michigan Senate race: Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers is tightening
🔹 Ohio governor race: Amy Acton vs Vivek Ramaswamy
🔹 Why is Obama campaigning if it’s a blue wave?
🔹 Trump approval rating, the generic ballot, and what they mean for the midterms
🔹 Prediction markets vs. polls: Who’s right?
🔹 Early voting numbers: 26.8 million mail ballots already cast

Election Day is November 3rd. Get out and vote.
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