Welcome to The Decision 2024! In today’s episode, Tom Ellsworth and Amy Dangerfield unpack the latest key moments from the final stretch of the election cycle.
With just two weeks remaining, Donald Trump pulled a shift behind a McDonald’s fryer, attacking Kamala Harris’ claims about having worked for the fast food chain while also solidifying his reputation as a man of the people.
At the same time, the liberal media appears to be shifting its tone on Harris. Our hosts dive into the AtlasIntel polls, which show Trump is expanding his lead both nationally and in battleground states. They also review the PolyMarket betting odds, revealing the largest spread of this election cycle, even surpassing last election’s numbers.
Finally, they analyze the latest battleground state data and update our electoral map prediction for a Trump vs. Harris showdown.
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By far the standout moment of the last week came when former President Donald Trump made a playful appearance at a McDonald’s in Pennsylvania, where he worked the fry station for 15 minutes, drawing attention and warm reactions from the public. The Trump campaign meant this as a light-hearted jab at Kamala Harris, contrasting Trump’s brief stint at McDonald’s with Harris’ absence from similar blue-collar work.
However, polling suggests that Harris’ disconnect from the average worker is starting to have an effect on her numbers.
Shifting from stunts to statistics, Tom and Amy also review new national polling data from AtlasIntel, noted as the most accurate pollster from the previous election. The data suggests a razor-thin race, with Trump nearly tied with Harris in several national polls. Interestingly, the polls reveal key voting trends, such as Trump’s growing support among men, independents, and non-college-educated voters, while Harris holds stronger backing among college-educated and higher-income voters.
The discussion then moves to swing states, particularly the battlegrounds of Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, where Trump is gaining momentum. According to both polling data and betting markets, Trump holds a slight edge in several crucial states, indicating a challenging path for Harris. Our hosts explore the tight dynamics in states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada, predicting potential outcomes based on recent data.
While the race remains incredibly close, Trump has secured significant leads in key states…but will it be enough to shift the election in his favor?
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