Israel and Lebanon are reportedly on the verge of a ceasefire agreement aimed at ending hostilities related to the ongoing conflict with Hezbollah, as stated by senior Israeli and U.S. officials. Despite this optimism, Israeli media sources indicate that no final agreement has been reached due to unresolved issues.

The proposed ceasefire would include a 60-day transition period, allowing the Israeli military to withdraw from southern Lebanon and the Lebanese army to take control of the border area, while Hezbollah would relocate its heavy weapons.

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However, there remain significant hurdles, including Israeli officials’ skepticism about the agreement’s effectiveness and concerns about a potential resurgence of Hezbollah. Israeli Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir criticized the agreement as a ‘big mistake’, fearing it would allow Hezbollah to regroup.

The ceasefire must also be approved by the Israeli cabinet, and trust issues persist regarding Lebanese compliance, particularly under Prime Minister Netanyahu’s leadership.

Recent escalations included Hezbollah firing around 250 rockets, leading to significant civilian alarms in Israel, although Israeli officials claim Hezbollah’s military capabilities are diminishing.

Casualties from the conflict have been severe, with over 3,500 Lebanese and approximately 140 Israelis reported killed since the fighting began in October 2023.

The US is set to play a key role in monitoring the ceasefire’s implementation and addressing any violations.

“We think we have a deal. We are on the goal line but we haven’t passed it yet,” a US official told Axios. “The Israeli cabinet needs to approve the deal on Tuesday and something can always go wrong until then.”

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